Tagged: election

My presidential predictions, the day after: I was close…

To start, I want to say that on the big question, I was right. Obama won. Granted, that wasn’t much of a prediction on my part (all hail Nate Silver and his glorious statistical models), but it was right nonetheless. On the question of Obama winning both New Hampshire and Virginia with Romney taking North Carolina, I was also right there, but not exactly in the way I stated. I expected Virginia to be called MUCH earlier. I had no idea it was going to be that close. On that same note, I expected Ohio to be called much later...

My 2012 presidential election predictions

Okay, so between looking at a map of when polls close, looking at Nate Silver’s model, and playing with electoral votes, I am ready to make predictions. I’ve provided links so that you may play along at home. If you take an electoral map and fill in all the states that are strongly leaning toward either candidate (>90% likelihood of winning, with the exception of Ohio…more on that in a second), you wind up at Obama with 253 EV and Romney with 191. So to start out, my map has 7 states “in play”: New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio,...

Barack Obama reaches delegate threshhold for Democratic nomination

This is our moment; this is our time. –Barack Obama, 6/3/08 I’m excited. His victory speech was very moving and very gracious. Can’t say so much for Hillary Clinton’s speech, which all but sealed my suspicions of her narcissistic personality disorder. But back to Obama…I’m pretty sure that this is the first time that any speech, let alone a politician’s speech, has nearly moved me to tears. Or maybe I was just so happy to be able to open my bottle of champagne, which was waiting for him to acknowledge his victory. So yeah…on to Denver, and then…the White House!...

A quick thought about presidents…

So I’m sitting here watching the returns from the Puerto Rico Democratic primary, just like I was watching the DNC rules committee yesterday decide what to do about Michigan and Florida. Now, I realize that if you go by the rules and the numbers, that it is more or less impossible for Hillary Clinton to get the nomination. However, her supporters it seems will stop at nothing, including a floor fight at the convention, to get it for her, and she all but outright encourages their despicable and divisive behavior. Just watch the DNC rules committee proceedings from yesterday; it’s...

Obama may not know “what it is to walk into battle” but he does understand sacrifice

I’m a confessed political junkie. As such, I have a perhaps unhealthy addiction to the CNN Political Ticker blog. This entry discusses a part of a Memorial Day speech that Barack Obama gave earlier today in Las Cruces, New Mexico. The full speech, about 9 minutes long, which is linked on the left, is worth a look if you’ve got time to spare. It’s probably not his best speech, but it is quite moving and I find it to be refreshingly genuine. However, this entry isn’t really about this speech, but about the perceptions regarding presidential candidates and military service,...